United Fire Group Stock Performance

UFCS Stock  USD 37.05  0.49  1.31%   
United Fire has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.53, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, United Fire's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding United Fire is expected to be smaller as well. United Fire Group right now has a risk of 1.31%. Please validate United Fire semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if United Fire will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United Fire Group are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable fundamental indicators, United Fire is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.31)
Five Day Return
4.6
Year To Date Return
4.13
Ten Year Return
1.81
All Time Return
1.8 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.017
Payout Ratio
0.2065
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.64
Dividend Date
2025-12-19
1
United Fire declares 0.16 dividend
11/24/2025
2
US Markets Undiscovered Gems Featuring 3 Promising Small Caps
12/15/2025
 
United Fire dividend paid on 19th of December 2025
12/19/2025
4
Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in United Fire Group Stock - Zacks Investment Research
12/30/2025
5
Heres Why Investors Should Retain Aflac Incorporated Stock for Now
12/31/2025
6
United Fire Group Downgraded by Zacks Research to Hold - MarketBeat
01/07/2026
7
Will United Fire Group Inc benefit from sector rotation - 2025 Trade Ideas Risk Managed Trade Strategies - baoquankhu1.vn
01/14/2026
8
United Fire Group Stock Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Time to Sell - MarketBeat
01/23/2026
9
United Fire Group Rating Lowered to Hold at Wall Street Zen - MarketBeat
01/30/2026
10
United Fire Group Hits New 52-Week High Heres What Happened
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow102 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-292.5 M

United Fire Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,610  in United Fire Group on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  95.00  from holding United Fire Group or generate 2.63% return on investment over 90 days. United Fire Group is currently generating 0.0511% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.3118% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than United, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days United Fire is expected to generate 1.87 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.6 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

United Fire Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 37.05 90 days 37.05 
about 17.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Fire to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.93 (This United Fire Group probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days United Fire has a beta of 0.53. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, United Fire average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding United Fire Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally United Fire Group has an alpha of 0.2712, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   United Fire Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United Fire

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Fire Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Fire's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.7337.0438.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.3540.2841.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.5938.9040.21
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.1337.5041.63
Details

United Fire Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Fire is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Fire's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Fire Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Fire within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.53
σ
Overall volatility
1.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

United Fire Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Fire for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Fire Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Fire Group currently holds 117.06 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.06, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. United Fire Group has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about United Fire's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 67.0% of United Fire outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 19th of December 2025 United Fire paid $ 0.16 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: United Fire Group Hits New 52-Week High Heres What Happened

United Fire Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Fire's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Fire's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

United Fire Fundamentals Growth

United Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of United Fire, and United Fire fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on United Stock performance.

About United Fire Performance

Assessing United Fire's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into United Fire's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the United Fire is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand(3.36)(3.53)
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.09 

Things to note about United Fire Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about United Fire for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for United Fire Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Fire Group currently holds 117.06 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.06, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. United Fire Group has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about United Fire's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 67.0% of United Fire outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 19th of December 2025 United Fire paid $ 0.16 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: United Fire Group Hits New 52-Week High Heres What Happened
Evaluating United Fire's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate United Fire's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing United Fire's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether United Fire's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining United Fire's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating United Fire's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of United Fire's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of United Fire's stock. These opinions can provide insight into United Fire's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating United Fire's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact United Fire's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for United Stock Analysis

When running United Fire's price analysis, check to measure United Fire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Fire is operating at the current time. Most of United Fire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Fire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Fire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Fire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.